Info!
UPDATED 1 Sept: The EI library in London is temporarily closed to the public, as a precautionary measure in light of the ongoing COVID-19 situation. The Knowledge Service will still be answering email queries via email , or via live chats during working hours (09:15-17:00 GMT). Our e-library is always open for members here: eLibrary , for full-text access to over 200 e-books and millions of articles. Thank you for your patience.
New Energy World magazine logo
New Energy World magazine logo
ISSN 2753-7757 (Online)

How to avoid future black-outs: UK and Texas grid operators compare and contrast

23/7/2025

10 min read

Feature

Graphic with graphs two stacked graphs on left hand side and map of UK on the right hand side Photo: OCF/NESO
Open Climate Fix's (OCF) Nowcasting service shows the feasibility of running AI deep learning-powered solar PV forecasting in a real project – using charts and a map to show projected solar power generation on both a national and regional level in Great Britain, to reduce the amount of power that would be needed to be kept in reserve to cover unexpected shortfalls

Photo: OCF/NESO, WP2 Progress Report 

To better understand the challenges faced by electricity system operators as renewable energy systems are integrated with grids, a Rice University MBA team including Melissa Stark, Linda Capuano, Nish Shanmugham and Lei Zhu, compared two leading system operators: the Electricity Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and the UK’s National System Operator (NESO).

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), electricity has grown at twice the rate of overall energy demand over the past decade. This pace of electricity growth could accelerate to as much as six times the rate of overall energy demand in the next decade, driven by rising electricity demand from data centres, air conditioning, and the electrification of transport, industry and heating.    

 

Although there are examples of new large data centres preferring firm generation, current IEA analysis shows that electricity generated from solar and wind is expected to account for much of the supply growth. Even in markets without clean power targets, the favourable economics and short development cycles of wind and solar have led to significant capacity expansion. For example, Texas has the largest installed wind and solar capacity installed in the US (in 2024, approximately 164 TWh of electricity was generated from wind and solar in ERCOT, compared to 62 TWh in California).      

 

Many electricity markets are already capable of managing instantaneous wind and solar penetrations of over 80%, and even up to 100%. This reflects significant progress by electricity system operators, where operators have adapted to manage changes in system inertia and voltage associated with more distributed and variable generation.      

 

This content is for EI members only.
or join us as an EI Member to read all our Feature articles and receive exclusive EI perks from as little as £6 a month.