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Shipping risks and risky ships---thoughts on the approach to market forecasting for tankers. M. Stopford. Opec Review., Summer 1995, 19(2), 117--136.

The usefulness of the market cycle theory in analysing the tanker market is questioned. Oil transport risk management markets, risk management of tanker transport in the 1990s, forecasting spot market revenue, and the volatility approach to market analysis are all discussed. Attention is drawn to the time charter market in the 1990s, the quality of the VLCC fleet is appraised, and the possibility of the markets starting to segment by quality is considered. Pricing structure is also outlined.
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